4 Jul · 10:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
L1
🇨🇿Ladislav Havel 1956
ELO 1379
FormWLLLL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.921956
AH
🇨🇿Alexander Hejduk
ELO 1342
FormLLWLL
52%
48%
Fair odds · 1956
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 60% · 1.66· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~76 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+37
H2H16-9
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.