4 Jul · 12:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
DO
🇨🇿Dominik Oborny
ELO 1515
FormWLLWW
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Oborny
JL
🇨🇿Jakub Levicky
ELO 1513
FormWLWWL
50%
50%
Fair odds · Oborny
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 49% · 2.06· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~75 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
15%
Elo Gap+2
H2H36-37
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.