4 Jul · 16:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
JP
🇨🇿Jakub Pilch
ELO 1523
FormLLWWW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Urbaniec
RU
🇨🇿Radim Urbaniec
ELO 1552
FormLWLLW
48%
52%
Fair odds · Urbaniec
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 45% · 2.20· vig 11%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~73 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
17%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+29
H2H5-8
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.