4 Jul · 17:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
DS
🇨🇿David Szotek
ELO 1475
FormLLWLL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Pilch
JP
🇨🇿Jakub Pilch
ELO 1523
FormLLWWW
47%
53%
Fair odds · Pilch
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 60% · 1.66· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~74 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
17%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+48
H2H10-4
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.