4 Jul · 17:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
FP
🇨🇿Frantisek Pusch
ELO 1495
FormLLWWW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Sopko
MS
🇨🇿Martin Sopko
ELO 1552
FormLWWWW
47%
53%
Fair odds · Sopko
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 51% · 1.94· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~76 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
17%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+57
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.