4 Jul · 08:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
DO
🇨🇿Dominik Oborny
ELO 1515
FormWLLWW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Zidek
VZ
🇨🇿Vaclav Zidek
ELO 1548
FormWLLWL
48%
52%
Fair odds · Zidek
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~76 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
17%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+33
H2H13-8
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.