4 Jul · 16:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
ML
🇨🇿Matej Levicky
ELO 1465
FormWLWLW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Levicky
MK
🇨🇿Matyas Kolek
ELO 1430
FormLLWLW
52%
48%
Fair odds · Levicky
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 49% · 2.06· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~75 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+35
H2H8-14
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.