4 Jul · 09:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
IK
🇨🇿Ivan Kolenciak
ELO 1375
FormLLLLW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Stolba
MS
🇨🇿Miroslav Stolba
ELO 1441
FormWLWLL
47%
53%
Fair odds · Stolba
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 46% · 2.16· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~80 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
17%
2-3
17%
0-3
16%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+66
H2H0-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.