5 Jul · 02:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
VK
🇨🇿Vaclav Kosar
ELO 1472
FormLLWWW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Kosar
JD
🇨🇿Julius Didi
ELO 1432
FormLWLLW
52%
48%
Fair odds · Kosar
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 65% · 1.55· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~76 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
17%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+40
H2H3-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.