4 Jul · 09:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
L1
🇨🇿Ladislav Havel 1956
ELO 1379
FormWLLLL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Vaclavik
MV
🇨🇿Miroslav Vaclavik
ELO 1398
FormWLLWW
49%
51%
Fair odds · Vaclavik
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 41% · 2.43· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~76 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
15%
Elo Gap+19
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.