4 Jul · 08:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
MS
🇨🇿Miroslav Stolba
ELO 1441
FormWLWLL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Vantuch
TV
🇨🇿Tomas Vantuch
ELO 1487
FormLLLLW
48%
52%
Fair odds · Vantuch
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 44% · 2.26· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~79 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
17%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+46
H2H0-1
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.