5 Jul · 04:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
AM
🇨🇿Alexander Mikuska
ELO 1496
FormLWWLW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Kolar
MK
🇨🇿Milan Kolar
ELO 1571
FormWWWWW
46%
54%
Fair odds · Kolar
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 35% · 2.82· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~74 pts
1-3
20%
2-3
17%
3-1
17%
0-3
16%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+75
H2H7-10
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.