4 Jul · 09:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
DB
🇨🇿David Barton
ELO 1475
FormWLWLL
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Barton
TR
🇨🇿Tomas Regner
ELO 1473
FormLLLWL
50%
50%
Fair odds · Barton
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~73 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
15%
Elo Gap+2
H2H6-3
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.