5 Jul · 03:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
JD
🇨🇿Julius Didi
ELO 1432
FormLWLLW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Novotny
MN
🇨🇿Miroslav Novotny
ELO 1448
FormLWWLL
49%
51%
Fair odds · Novotny
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 49% · 2.03· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~74 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
15%
Elo Gap+16
H2H0-1
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.