4 Jul · 08:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
PB
🇨🇿Petr Banot
ELO 1411
FormWWLWL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Banot
IK
🇨🇿Ivan Kolenciak
ELO 1375
FormLLLLW
52%
48%
Fair odds · Banot
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 61% · 1.65· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~78 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+36
H2H2-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.