4 Jul · 09:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
JL
🇨🇿Jiri Louda
ELO 1582
FormLLWLW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Sychra
MS
🇨🇿Martin Sychra
ELO 1617
FormLWWLW
48%
52%
Fair odds · Sychra
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 46% · 2.16· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~79 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
17%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+35
H2H14-19
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.