5 Jul · 02:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
VS
🇨🇿Vladimir Svoboda
ELO 1454
FormWWLWL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Svoboda
J1
🇨🇿Jaroslav Strnad 1964
ELO 1414
FormLLWLW
52%
48%
🌟1964 stays under total as underdog 69% (13)
Fair odds · Svoboda
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~76 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
17%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+40
H2H7-6
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.