5 Jul · 03:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
MV
🇨🇿Martin Vizek
ELO 1537
FormLLLWL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Pycha
PP
🇨🇿Patrik Pycha
ELO 1572
FormWLLLW
48%
52%
Fair odds · Pycha
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 49% · 2.06· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~75 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
17%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+35
H2H17-17
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.