5 Jul · 02:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
AM
🇨🇿Alexander Mikuska
ELO 1496
FormLWWLW
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Mikuska
FB
🇨🇿Frantisek Briza
ELO 1491
FormWWLWW
50%
50%
Fair odds · Mikuska
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~74 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
15%
Elo Gap+5
H2H10-14
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.