4 Jul · 09:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
VZ
🇨🇿Vaclav Zidek
ELO 1548
FormWLLWL
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Zidek
MH
🇨🇿Marcel Heczko
ELO 1542
FormWWLLW
50%
50%
Fair odds · Zidek
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 38% · 2.67· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~75 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
15%
Elo Gap+6
H2H2-9
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.