5 Jul · 17:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
L1
🇨🇿Ladislav Havel 1956
ELO 1381
FormWLLWW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.921956
MB
🇨🇿Miroslav Barta
ELO 1341
FormWWLWL
52%
48%
Fair odds · 1956
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 39% · 2.55· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~76 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
17%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+40
H2H7-13
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.