5 Jul · 14:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
TZ
🇨🇿Tadeas Zika
ELO 1607
FormLWWWW
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Wawrosz
PW
🇨🇿Pavel Wawrosz
ELO 1610
FormLLLLW
50%
50%
🌟Zika covers set handicap as underdog 81% (21)
Fair odds · Wawrosz
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 51% · 1.95· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~76 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
19%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
15%
Elo Gap+3
H2H12-16
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.