5 Jul · 18:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MB
🇨🇿Miroslav Barta
ELO 1341
FormWWLWL
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Trojan
FT
🇨🇿Frantisek Trojan
ELO 1470
FormLWLLW
43%
57%
Fair odds · Trojan
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~76 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
18%
0-3
17%
3-1
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+129
H2H5-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+129)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (5-1)