5 Jul · 18:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
MS
🇨🇿Michal Syroha
ELO 1443
FormWLWLW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Syroha
L1
🇨🇿Ladislav Havel 1956
ELO 1381
FormWLLWW
53%
47%
Fair odds · Syroha
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 44% · 2.27· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~75 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+62
H2H10-21
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.