5 Jul · 20:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
DH
🇨🇿David Horak
ELO 1495
FormLLLWW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Bartunek
RB
🇨🇿Radek Bartunek
ELO 1566
FormWWLWW
46%
54%
Fair odds · Bartunek
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 39% · 2.55· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~78 pts
1-3
20%
2-3
17%
3-1
17%
0-3
16%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+71
H2H5-4
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.