5 Jul · 10:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
DP
🇨🇿Daniel Priesol
ELO 1463
FormLLLWL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Priesol
AS
🇨🇿Antonin Schneeberger
ELO 1449
FormLWWLL
51%
49%
Fair odds · Priesol
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 51% · 1.94· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~76 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
15%
Elo Gap+14
H2H5-7
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.