5 Jul · 18:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
MT
🇨🇿Mihail Trinta
ELO 1425
FormLWLLL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Bruzek
PB
🇨🇿Petr Bruzek
ELO 1460
FormWWWLL
48%
52%
🌟Trinta covers set handicap as underdog 67% (12)
Fair odds · Bruzek
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 39% · 2.55· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~73 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
17%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+35
H2H4-11
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.