5 Jul · 09:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
JP
🇨🇿Jakub Plachta
ELO 1616
FormWWWWW
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Plachta
PW
🇨🇿Pavel Wawrosz
ELO 1610
FormLLLLW
50%
50%
Fair odds · Plachta
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~75 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
15%
Elo Gap+6
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.