5 Jul · 09:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
MK
🇨🇿Milan Klement
ELO 1596
FormLWLWL
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Klement
PS
🇨🇿Petr Saleny
ELO 1594
FormWLLWW
50%
50%
Fair odds · Klement
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 46% · 2.16· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~77 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
15%
Elo Gap+2
H2H13-10
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.