5 Jul · 13:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
TZ
🇨🇿Tadeas Zika
ELO 1607
FormLWWWW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Polasek
RP
🇨🇿Radovan Polasek
ELO 1641
FormWLWWW
48%
52%
🌟Zika covers set handicap as underdog 81% (21)
Fair odds · Polasek
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~76 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
17%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+34
H2H66-63
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.