5 Jul · 10:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
RP
🇨🇿Radim Pavelka
ELO 1553
FormWWLWL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Pavelka
JP
🇨🇿Jaroslav Prokupek
ELO 1470
FormLWLLW
54%
46%
Fair odds · Pavelka
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 51% · 1.94· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~76 pts
3-1
20%
3-2
17%
1-3
17%
3-0
16%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+83
H2H49-53
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.