5 Jul · 20:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
MS
🇨🇿Martin Sychra
ELO 1581
FormLLWLL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Klement
MK
🇨🇿Milan Klement
ELO 1596
FormLWLWL
49%
51%
Fair odds · Klement
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 44% · 2.27· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~78 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
15%
Elo Gap+15
H2H21-20
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.