5 Jul · 16:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
OK
🇨🇿Ondrej Kysely
ELO 1594
FormWWWWL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Kysely
SK
🇨🇿Simon Kadavy
ELO 1496
FormWLLLW
55%
45%
Fair odds · Kysely
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 61% · 1.65· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~76 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
18%
3-0
17%
1-3
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+98
H2H1-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+98)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)