5 Jul · 17:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
TZ
🇨🇿Tadeas Zika
ELO 1607
FormLWWWW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Biolek
MB
🇨🇿Martin Biolek
ELO 1692
FormWWWLL
46%
54%
🌟Zika covers set handicap as underdog 81% (21)
Fair odds · Biolek
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 61% · 1.65· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~76 pts
1-3
20%
2-3
17%
3-1
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+85
H2H31-16
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.