5 Jul · 09:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
JK
🇨🇿Jan Kanera
ELO 1621
FormLLLWW
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Kanera
MZ
🇨🇿Michal Zahradka
ELO 1613
FormLWWWW
50%
50%
Fair odds · Kanera
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~76 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
15%
Elo Gap+8
H2H20-20
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.