5 Jul · 21:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
JL
🇨🇿Jakub Levicky
ELO 1505
FormLWLWL
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Volny
MV
🇨🇿Marek Volny
ELO 1506
FormLLWLW
50%
50%
Fair odds · Volny
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 34% · 2.96· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~75 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
19%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
15%
Elo Gap+1
H2H11-4
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.