5 Jul · 14:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
VN
🇨🇿Vaclav Nohejl
ELO 1580
FormWWWWW
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Nohejl
LM
🇨🇿Lukas Malek
ELO 1463
FormWWLLW
56%
44%
Fair odds · Nohejl
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~76 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
18%
3-0
17%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+117
H2H1-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+117)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)