5 Jul · 09:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
DP
🇨🇿Daniel Priesol
ELO 1463
FormLLLWL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Zientek
ZZ
🇨🇿Zbynek Zientek
ELO 1496
FormWLLLW
48%
52%
Fair odds · Zientek
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 49% · 2.06· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~74 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
17%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+33
H2H11-12
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.