5 Jul · 13:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
VN
🇨🇿Vaclav Nohejl
ELO 1580
FormWWWWW
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Nohejl
JB
🇨🇿Jan Bernat
ELO 1445
FormLWWLL
57%
43%
Fair odds · Nohejl
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~76 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
18%
3-0
17%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+135
H2H0-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+135)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)