5 Jul · 18:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
SK
🇨🇿Simon Kadavy
ELO 1496
FormWLLLW
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Kadavy
MN
🇨🇿Matej Nohejl
ELO 1495
FormWLWWL
50%
50%
Fair odds · Kadavy
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 42% · 2.37· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~76 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
15%
Elo Gap+1
H2H0-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.