5 Jul · 22:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
DO
🇨🇿Dominik Oborny
ELO 1496
FormLLWLL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Volny
MV
🇨🇿Marek Volny
ELO 1506
FormLLWLW
49%
51%
Fair odds · Volny
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 62% · 1.60· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~75 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
15%
Elo Gap+10
H2H4-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.