5 Jul · 21:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
MB
🇨🇿Martin Bittner
ELO 1586
FormWLWWL
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Bittner
MS
🇨🇿Martin Sychra
ELO 1581
FormLLWLL
50%
50%
Fair odds · Bittner
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 34% · 2.96· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~77 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
15%
Elo Gap+5
H2H0-3
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.