5 Jul · 10:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
MH
🇨🇿Martin Huk
ELO 1573
FormWLLLW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Zahradka
MZ
🇨🇿Michal Zahradka
ELO 1613
FormLWWWW
48%
52%
🌟Huk covers set handicap as underdog 83% (12)
Fair odds · Zahradka
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~76 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
17%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+40
H2H67-49
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.