5 Jul · 10:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
DL
🇨🇿Daniel Langer
ELO 1601
FormWWWWW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Langer
ZZ
🇨🇿Zbynek Zientek
ELO 1496
FormWLLLW
55%
45%
Fair odds · Langer
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 75% · 1.33· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~74 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
18%
3-0
17%
1-3
17%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+105
H2H1-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+105)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)