5 Jul · 10:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
JK
🇨🇿Jan Kanera
ELO 1621
FormLLLWW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Kanera
AB
🇨🇿Ales Barton
ELO 1608
FormLLLLW
51%
49%
Fair odds · Kanera
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 51% · 1.94· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~75 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
15%
Elo Gap+13
H2H15-5
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.