6 Jul · 00:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
PS
🇨🇿Petr Sebera
ELO 1573
FormLLLWL
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Sychra
MS
🇨🇿Martin Sychra
ELO 1581
FormLLWLL
50%
50%
Fair odds · Sychra
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 41% · 2.43· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~77 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
15%
Elo Gap+8
H2H56-50
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.