5 Jul · 16:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
MB
🇨🇿Martin Biolek
ELO 1683
FormLWWWL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Biolek
MC
🇨🇿Michal Cabis
ELO 1638
FormWLLLL
52%
48%
Fair odds · Biolek
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 63% · 1.60· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~77 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
17%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+45
H2H3-4
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.