5 Jul · 22:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
MB
🇨🇿Martin Bittner
ELO 1586
FormWLWWL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Klement
MK
🇨🇿Milan Klement
ELO 1596
FormLWLWL
49%
51%
Fair odds · Klement
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~76 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
15%
Elo Gap+10
H2H3-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.