6 Jul · 01:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
JP
🇨🇿Jaroslav Prokupek
ELO 1470
FormLWLLW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Vizek
MV
🇨🇿Martin Vizek
ELO 1537
FormLLLWL
47%
53%
Fair odds · Vizek
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~76 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
17%
2-3
17%
0-3
16%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+67
H2H21-12
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.