5 Jul · 18:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
MC
🇨🇿Michal Chalupa
ELO 1538
FormWLWWL
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Chalupa
ZP
🇨🇿Zbynek Pagac
ELO 1534
FormWWLLL
50%
50%
Fair odds · Chalupa
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~77 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
15%
Elo Gap+4
H2H43-47
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.